FIEL (Latin-American Foundation for Economic Research) introduces FMF in 1995: a permanent and updated system of macroeconomic and sectoral forecasts of the Argentine economy.
These forecasts will cover up to one hundred economic variables, based upon three scenarios of the domestic economy and its insertion in the international market place, labeled as 'more probable', 'optimistic' and 'pessimistic'.
The horizon of the forecasts is three years, according to the following schedule:
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The April Briefing will be available on April each year. This briefing will include the actual figures for the previous year and forecasts for the current year and for the two following years, but only for a set of selected variables.
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The First Issue will be available on July every year. This issue will include forecasts for the current year and for the two following years.
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The October Briefing, available on April each year, will forecast selected variables for the current period and a horizon of two years.
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The Second Issue will be available on December each year. Preliminary data on the current year will be included, as well as forecasts for the three following years.
Each annual subscription includes:
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Two main documents edited with text, pictures and graphs in English.
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Two additional issues (which ones can, or cannot include only selected variable) with text, pictures and graphs in English.
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Two Semester Meetings of Macroeconomic and Sectoral Analysis, addressed by FIEL economists. Each one of these meetings will take place within the 20 days after the main issues has been released.
The annual cost of a subscription of the product is of 6.500 pesos
for sponsors of FIEL and 9.600 pesos
for those non sponsors and resident organizations in the country. For non resident companies in the country the cost is of U$S 1300 for the sponsors and U$S 2500 for which they are not.
For more information contact: Lic. Cynthia Moskovits, fmf@fiel.org.ar
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Table 1 ARGENTINA Gross Domestic Product, Global Supply and Demand (Billions of 1993 Prices and annual percentage change)
GDP at market prices
Imports of Goods and NFS
Exports of Goods and NFS
Gross Fixed Investment
Consumption
Change in Inventories and Statistical Error
Table 2 ARGENTINA Gross Domestic Product, Global Supply and Demand (Billions of Current Prices and annual percentage change)
GDP at market prices
Imports of Goods and NFS
Exports of Goods and NFS
Gross Fixed Investment
Consumption
Change in Inventories and Statistical Error
Table 3 ARGENTINA GDP Composition at Constant Prices (Billions of 1993 Prices and annual percentage change)
GDP at Factor Cost
Goods
Agriculture
Fish
Mining
Manufacturing
Construction
Electricity, Gas and Water
Services
Commerce
Hotels and Restaurants
Transport, Storage and Communications
Financial Intermediation
Rental Services
Government and Other Services
Plus: Value Added Tax
Plus: Import Taxes
Minus: Services of Indirect Financial intermediation
Table 4 ARGENTINA Sector Prices (Index Number Base 1993=1)
GDP Deflator
Goods
Agriculture
Fish
Mining
Manufacturing
Construction
Electricity, Gas and Water
Services
Commerce
Hotels and Restaurants
Transport, Storage and Communications
Financial Intermediation
Rental Services
Government and Other Services
Table 5 ARGENTINA Manufacturing Industry - FIEL Industrial Production Index (Index Number, 1993=100 and annual percentage change)
Manufacturing Production Index (FIEL)
Food Products
Automobile Industry
Oil Processing
Metallic and Transport industry
Nonmetallic Minerals
Paper and Printing
Chemical, Rubber, Plastic
Ferrous Industry
Tobacco
Textiles
Table 6 ARGENTINA Employment, Labor Income and Capacity Utilization (Annual Growth Rates and %)
Employment (thousand)
Population (thousand)
Active Population (thousand)
Activity Rate (%)
Unemployment Rate (%)
Hours per worker - industry (1995:3=100)
Capacity Utilization - industry (%)
Average Lavor Income Growth
Average Labor Cost Growth (US$)
Average Labor Income Growth (real)
Average Hourly Income Growth (real)
Average Productivity per Person
Average Productivity per Hour Worked
Hours per worker variation (%)
Table 7 ARGENTINA Gross Fixed Investment
(Billions of Constant 1993 Prices)
Gross Fixed Investment
Construction
Machinery, Tools and Transport Equipment
(Billions of Current US Dollars)
Gross Fixed Investment
Construction
Machinery, Tools and Transport Equipment
Table 8 ARGENTINA Consumption
(Billions of Constant 1993 Prices)
Consumption
Public
Private
(Billions of Current US Dollars)
Consumption
Public
Private
Table 9 ARGENTINA Resource Balance (Billions of US Dollars and Annual Growth Rates)
Resource Balance
Exports of Goods and NFS
Merchandise Exports (FOB)
Non Factor Services
Imports of Goods and NFS
Merchandise Imports (FOB)
Non Factor Services
Current Account
Table 10 ARGENTINA Financial Services and Capital Account (Billions of US Dollars and Annual Growth Rates)
Net Factor Service Income
Interest Perceived on External Assets
Interest Accrued on External Debt
Royalties and Dividends
Current Transfers
Balance on Capital Account
Net International Reserves (change)
Table 11 ARGENTINA Liquid Reserves, Debt and Country Risk (Billions of US Dollars and Annual Growth Rates)
External assets of Central Bank
External Debt
Public
Private
Emerging Markets Bond Index Plus (EMBI+)
Table 12 ARGENTINA External Trade: Imports (Billions of 1993 constant prices and Annual Growth Rates)
Imports
Merchandises
Consumption Goods
Intermediate Goods
Capital Goods
Parts & Accessories
Energy
Non Factor Services
Unit Value of Imports
Unit Value of Merchandises
Unit Value of Consumption Goods
Unit Value of Intermediate Goods
Unit Value of Capital Goods
Unit Value of Parts & Accessories
Unit Value of Energy
Unit Value of Non Factor Services
Table 13 ARGENTINA External Trade: Exports (Billions of 1993 constant prices and Annual Growth Rates)
Exports
Merchandises
Agricultural Manufactures
Industrial Manufactures
Primary
Energy
Non Factor Services
Unit Value of Exports
Unit Value of Merchandises
Unit Value of Agricultural Manufactures
Unit Value of Industrial Manufactures
Unit Value of Primary Goods
Unit Value of Energy Exports
Unit Value of Non Factor Services
Table 14 ARGENTINA Agricultural Activity (Planted and Harvested Areas, in Mill. Hectares)
Planted Area, principal crops
Planted Area: sunflower
Planted Area: corn
Planted Area: soybeans
Planted Area: sorghum
Planted Area: wheat
Harvested Area, principal crops
Harvested Area: sunflower
Harvested Area: corn
Harvested Area: soybeans
Harvested Area: sorghum
Harvested Area: wheat
Table 15 ARGENTINA Agricultural Production
Agricultural yield (five crops, thousand tons per hect.)
Total production (five crops, thousand tons.)
Production of sunflower (thousand tons.)
Production of corn (thousand tons.)
Production of soybeans (thousand tons.)
Production of sorghum (thousand tons.)
Production of wheat (thousand tons.)
Cattle Slaughter (thousand heads)
Table 16 ARGENTINA Agricultural Campaigns
Planted Area, principal crops
Planted Area: sunflower
Planted Area: corn
Planted Area: soybeans
Planted Area: sorghum
Planted Area: wheat
Harvested Area, principal crops
Harvested Area: sunflower
Harvested Area: corn
Harvested Area: soybeans
Harvested Area: sorghum
Harvested Area: wheat
Agricultural yield (five crops, thousand tons per hect.)
Total production (five crops, thousand tons.)
Production of sunflower (thousand tons.)
Production of corn (thousand tons.)
Production of soybeans (thousand tons.)
Production of sorghum (thousand tons.)
Production of wheat (thousand tons.)
Table 17 ARGENTINA Financial System (Stocks in Billions of US Dollars)
Total Domestic Deposits (end of period)
Total Domestic Deposits (average)
Loans (average)
Loans to Public Sector (average)
Loans to Private Sector (average)
Deposit Rate in Pesos 30 days (average, in %)
Table 18 ARGENTINA Prices (Index Numbers and Average Growth Rates)
General Wholesale Price Index
Agricultural
Non-Agricultural
Imported
Consumer Price Index
Goods
Services
Price of Investment Goods
Equipment
Construction
Construction Price Index
Price of Durable Consumption
Price of Cattle
Nominal Exchange Rate ($/US$)
Table 19 ARGENTINA Selected Indicators of the External Sector
US Consumer Price Index (All Urban)
US Producer Price Index (Total)
GDP US
Federal Funds Rate (%)
Unit Value of World Exports
SDR (dollar value)
Oil Prices (WTI)
LIBOR 180 days
US Treasury 10 Years
Argentina's Terms of Trade (1995=100)
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